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Economic Analysis

Independent analysis, commentary and explanations on the issues shaping the Australian economy.

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Immigration and the Australian Economy: Separating the Evidence from the Noise
Economic Policy 20 Apr 2026

Immigration and the Australian Economy: Separating the Evidence from the Noise

Immigration has become one of the most politically charged economic debates in Australia. We cut through the noise with …

Mark Stevenson Read →
The True Cost of Childcare: How It Shapes Work, Earnings, and the Economy
Cost of Living 18 Apr 2026

The True Cost of Childcare: How It Shapes Work, Earnings, and the Economy

Australian childcare costs are among the highest in the OECD. The consequences extend beyond family budgets — they shape…

Mark Stevenson Read →
Big Four Banks: Record Profits, Rising Scrutiny, and What It Means for the Economy Premium
Economic Policy 15 Apr 2026

Big Four Banks: Record Profits, Rising Scrutiny, and What It Means for the Economy

The Commonwealth Bank, Westpac, NAB, and ANZ continue to generate extraordinary profits. We examine where those profits …

Mark Stevenson Read →
Negative Gearing: The Debate That Won't Die — and the Economics Behind It Premium
Housing 12 Apr 2026

Negative Gearing: The Debate That Won't Die — and the Economics Behind It

Few tax policies in Australia generate more heat than negative gearing. We cut through the politics and examine what the…

Mark Stevenson Read →
Small Business in Australia: Reading the Conditions Index and What It Signals Premium
Productivity 10 Apr 2026

Small Business in Australia: Reading the Conditions Index and What It Signals

Small business conditions surveys are among the most forward-looking economic indicators available. Right now, they are …

Mark Stevenson Read →
What Does "Full Employment" Actually Mean — and Has Australia Achieved It?
Wages 07 Apr 2026

What Does "Full Employment" Actually Mean — and Has Australia Achieved It?

Australia's unemployment rate has been running near 50-year lows. But economists disagree about what full employment rea…

Mark Stevenson Read →
CPI Inflation in Australia: A Full Breakdown of What's Going Up and What's Coming Down Premium
Inflation 04 Apr 2026

CPI Inflation in Australia: A Full Breakdown of What's Going Up and What's Coming Down

Not all inflation is created equal. Some categories of the Consumer Price Index are still running hot while others have …

Mark Stevenson Read →
Quantitative Easing in Australia: What the RBA Did and What It Left Behind Premium
Inflation 31 Mar 2026

Quantitative Easing in Australia: What the RBA Did and What It Left Behind

Between 2020 and 2022, the RBA created hundreds of billions of dollars to support the economy. Here is a plain-English a…

Mark Stevenson Read →
Australia's Falling Household Savings Rate: What It Signals for the Economy
Cost of Living 29 Mar 2026

Australia's Falling Household Savings Rate: What It Signals for the Economy

Australians are saving less than at any point since before COVID. The savings buffer that cushioned the rate-hiking cycl…

Mark Stevenson Read →
Stage 3 Tax Cuts: The Economic Impact 12 Months On
Economic Policy 26 Mar 2026

Stage 3 Tax Cuts: The Economic Impact 12 Months On

The modified Stage 3 tax cuts delivered more benefit to lower and middle income earners than the original design. What h…

Mark Stevenson Read →
First Home Buyers in Australia: The Economic Barriers Are Bigger Than Ever
Housing 21 Mar 2026

First Home Buyers in Australia: The Economic Barriers Are Bigger Than Ever

The deposit hurdle, stamp duty costs, and house-price-to-income ratios have all deteriorated for first-home buyers over …

Mark Stevenson Read →
Iron Ore: Australia's $130 Billion Export and Why Its Price Matters to Everyone
Economic Policy 18 Mar 2026

Iron Ore: Australia's $130 Billion Export and Why Its Price Matters to Everyone

Iron ore is Australia's largest single export and the most important commodity for federal budget revenues. Here is what…

Mark Stevenson Read →
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